Natural Gas (NG/USD)

📜 History

For decades, natural gas in the United States was sold locally through pipelines, and prices were set by regulation. The Natural Gas Policy Act of 1978 began phasing out federal price controls. The Natural Gas Wellhead Decontrol Act of 1989 removed most remaining wellhead price controls. The New York Mercantile Exchange launched its natural gas futures contract in April 1990, with delivery at the Henry Hub in Louisiana. Price swings grew in the 2000s, and energy trading scandals such as Enron raised scrutiny of the market. Prices peaked above $13 per MMBtu in 2008, then fell below $2 in 2012 as the shale gas boom lifted supply.

⚙️ What moves the price

• →Weekly EIA storage report, released Thursdays at 10:30 ET. A surprise build or draw can move price fast.
• →Weather forecasts. Cold winters and hot summers raise heating and cooling demand.
• →LNG export levels. Higher exports from US terminals tighten the domestic market.
• →Production and rig counts. Changes in shale output add or cut supply.
• →Global gas benchmarks and crude oil. The link to oil is weaker than many expect, but it still matters at times.

Character

• •Very volatile. Large daily moves are common, and sharp spikes happen.
• •Strongly seasonal. Winter (November to March) and summer peaks drive demand.
• •Sensitive to weather models. A change in forecast can reverse the price within hours.
• •Expiry and contract roll periods can cause sudden moves.

When to trade

• ✅Trade during the US session, especially around the EIA storage report.
• ✅Pay attention to the season. Winter heating demand and summer power demand drive different moves.
• ✅Set clear risk limits, since gaps and spikes are frequent.

When not to trade

• ⛔Just before or during the EIA report, when spreads widen and moves become sudden.
• ⛔Thin hours, such as the Asian session, when liquidity is low.
• ⛔Holding large positions into futures expiry without a clear plan.

Our verified setups

Latest closed signals

• SELL · H4 · SL06/11−$104
• SELL · H1 · SL06/11−$104
• SELL · H4 · SL06/11−$108
• SELL · H1 · SL01/11−$122
• SELL · H1 · BE30/10−$8

📊 Weekly report

Simulation: $10,000 deposit, $100 risk per trade. Pips — price movement; $ — result at fixed risk.