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USD/JPY

Dollar against the yen — the pair of interest rates and interventions.

157.435158.533

USD/JPY is the second most traded currency pair in the world. Its main driver is the difference between US and Japanese interest rates: when US yields rise, the pair usually goes up.

🕐 Active hours: Tokyo + New York

📜 History

The yen became Japan's official currency unit in 1871, during the Meiji-era reforms. From 1949 to 1971 the Bretton Woods system fixed the rate at 360 yen per dollar. After the US ended dollar convertibility in August 1971, the rate was reset, and Japan let the yen float in 1973. The Plaza Accord of September 1985 pushed the dollar down against major currencies, and the yen rose sharply. Japan's asset bubble burst in the early 1990s, starting a long period of weak growth and low inflation. Abenomics and Bank of Japan easing from 2013 pushed the yen weaker, and Japan's Ministry of Finance has intervened in the market several times, including in 1998, 2011 and 2022.

⚙️ What moves the price

  • US Federal Reserve rate decisions and US Treasury yields: higher US yields usually support the dollar against the yen.
  • Bank of Japan policy: changes to easing or yield curve control can move the yen sharply.
  • Interest rate gap and carry trades: when investors borrow yen to buy higher-yielding assets, a sudden unwind can lift the yen fast.
  • Japan Ministry of Finance intervention: official yen buying can cause quick, large drops in USD/JPY.
  • Risk sentiment and oil prices: yen demand rises in crises, and Japan imports most of its energy, so high oil often weakens the yen.

Character

  • Long, smooth trends driven by US bond yields.
  • Active in Tokyo and again in New York.
  • Risk of sudden drops when Japan's Ministry of Finance intervenes to support the yen.

When to trade

  • Tokyo session and the New York open.
  • Trend pullbacks on M15 in the direction of the daily trend.

When not to trade

  • US CPI and NFP, Fed and Bank of Japan decisions.
  • Levels where Japanese officials have warned about intervention.

Our verified setups

TradeSignaloss · M15Premium
41
trades
29%
win rate
1.91
PF
+$2,655
result
Level Trade Signals · M15Pro
25
trades
36%
win rate
2.68
PF
+$2,788
result

Latest closed signals

  • SELL · M15 · SL29/10−$104
  • BUY · M15 · SL23/10−$103
  • SELL · M15 · SL21/10−$105
  • SELL · M15 · SL14/10−$106
  • SELL · M15 · SL13/10−$102

📊 Weekly report

26.10–01.11.2026-$104 ▾
DateTradePips$Target
29.10SELL · M15-30-$104SL
1
Trades
0%
Win
-30
Pips
-$104
Net
-1%
Deposit
19.10–25.10.2026-$208 ▾
DateTradePips$Target
21.10SELL · M15-24-$105SL
23.10BUY · M15-47-$103SL
2
Trades
0%
Win
-71
Pips
-$208
Net
-2.1%
Deposit
12.10–18.10.2026-$314 ▾
DateTradePips$Target
12.10BUY · M15-5-$106SL
13.10SELL · M15-16-$102SL
14.10SELL · M15-15-$106SL
3
Trades
0%
Win
-36
Pips
-$314
Net
-3.1%
Deposit
05.10–11.10.2026-$60 ▾
DateTradePips$Target
09.10SELL · M15-22-$60SL
1
Trades
0%
Win
-22
Pips
-$60
Net
-0.6%
Deposit
28.09–04.10.2026+$385 ▾
DateTradePips$Target
01.10BUY · M15+94+$498TP5
01.10SELL · M15-64-$100SL
02.10BUY · M15+52+$88TP5
02.10SELL · M15-40-$101SL
4
Trades
50%
Win
+42
Pips
+$385
Net
+3.9%
Deposit
21.09–27.09.2026+$589 ▾
DateTradePips$Target
21.09SELL · M15-47-$101SL
22.09BUY · M15-19-$102SL
23.09SELL · M15-74-$100SL
23.09BUY · M15+56+$497TP5
24.09BUY · M15+73+$498TP5
25.09SELL · M15-9-$103SL
6
Trades
33%
Win
-20
Pips
+$589
Net
+5.9%
Deposit
14.09–20.09.2026+$791 ▾
DateTradePips$Target
15.09SELL · M15-46-$101SL
15.09BUY · M15+84+$495TP5
16.09BUY · M15+140+$499TP5
18.09BUY · M15-12-$102SL
4
Trades
50%
Win
+166
Pips
+$791
Net
+7.9%
Deposit
07.09–13.09.2026+$293 ▾
DateTradePips$Target
07.09SELL · M15-28-$103SL
08.09SELL · M15+222+$499TP5
09.09SELL · M15-25-$103SL
3
Trades
33%
Win
+169
Pips
+$293
Net
+2.9%
Deposit
31.08–06.09.2026+$895 ▾
DateTradePips$Target
31.08SELL · M15-15-$102SL
02.09SELL · M15+66+$498TP5
02.09SELL · M15+137+$499TP5
3
Trades
67%
Win
+188
Pips
+$895
Net
+9%
Deposit
24.08–30.08.2026-$101 ▾
DateTradePips$Target
26.08SELL · M15-26-$101SL
1
Trades
0%
Win
-26
Pips
-$101
Net
-1%
Deposit
17.08–23.08.2026+$481 ▾
DateTradePips$Target
17.08SELL · M15-12-$103SL
19.08BUY · M15-22-$101SL
19.08SELL · M15-5-$107SL
19.08SELL · M15+85+$498TP5
20.08BUY · M15-21-$101SL
21.08SELL · M15+39+$496TP5
21.08SELL · M15-36-$101SL
7
Trades
29%
Win
+28
Pips
+$481
Net
+4.8%
Deposit

Simulation: $10,000 deposit, $100 risk per trade. Pips — price movement; $ — result at fixed risk.

Simulated account: every trade risks $100, spread included. Past and simulated results do not guarantee future results.

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